What did the Meta-Analysis of Chemotherapy in Head and Neck Cancer (MACH-NC) Actually Showed?

  • Takeaway: 
    • Concomitant chemotherapy + radiation therapy (RT):
      • Yields a statistically significant OS benefit vs RT alone:
        • HR ~ 0.83; ~ 6.5% 5-yr OS gain:
          • Driven by improved locoregional control
      • Induction alone or adjuvant alone did not improve OS
  • Use: 
    • This underpins cisplatin-CRT as the default curative standard
  • Refs: 
    • Lacas et al., MACH-NC (Radiother Oncol 2021; PMC)
  • What it is individual-patient data meta-analysis updating the MACH-NC database:
    • To 107 RCTs / 19,805 patients:
      • Accrued 1965 to 2012
    • Updated median follow-up:
      • 6.6 years
    • Endpoints:
      • OS, EFS, 120-day mortality, loco-regional failure (LRF), distant failure (DF), cancer vs non-cancer deaths Groningen Research Portal+1
    • Results by timing of chemotherapy:
      • Concomitant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) vs loco-regional therapy alone:
        • Overall survival: 
          • HR 0.83 (95% CI 0.79–0.86):
            • Absolute OS gain + 6.5% at 5 yr and + 3.6% at 10 yr (≈ NNT ~ 15 at 5 yr)
        • EFS:
          • HR 0.80 with + 5.8% at 5 yr
        • No increase in 120-day mortality:
        • Patterns of failure: 
          • Marked LRF reduction (sub-HR 0.71)
          • No DF effect (HR 1.04)
          • Survival benefit driven by lower cancer mortality (HR 0.79; − 9.8% at 5 yr):
        • Regimen effects: 
          • Greatest effect for platinum-containing polychemotherapy (EFS HR 0.74)
          • Smallest for non-platinum monochemotherapy (HR 0.86)
          • Benefit consistent across eras and RT modalities Groningen Research Portal
    • Induction chemotherapy (before RT / CRT):
      • OS and EFS: 
        • No significant benefit:
          • OS HR 0.96
          • EFS HR 0.96
        • DF decreases (HR 0.76):
          • But no LRF improvement (sub-HR 1.07)
        • Benefit attenuates with worse performance status Groningen Research Portal
    • Adjuvant chemotherapy (after loco-regional therapy):
      • OS and EFS: 
        • No benefit:
          • OS HR 1.02
          • EFS HR 0.98
      • Early mortality: 
        • Higher 120-day mortality (HR 1.89, p=0.0003)
        • Some reduction in LRF (sub-HR 0.84) and DF(HR 0.77) without survival gain Groningen Research Portal
    • Direct head-to-head concomitant vs induction (same drugs):
      • Across eight comparisons (n=1,214), concomitant is superior
        • OS HR 0.84 (≈ + 6.2% absolute OS at 5 yr)
        • EFS HR 0.85
        • LRF HR 0.86
      • Indirect comparisons concur (interaction p<0.0001) Groningen Research Portal
    • Subgroups and modifiers:
      • Age: 
      • Performance status: 
      • HPV / smoking: 
    • Practical takeaways:
      • For curative, non-metastatic HNSCC:
        • The only timing with proven OS benefit is concomitant chemo with RT
        • Expect ~ 6% to 7% absolute 5-yr OS gain:
      • Induction doesn’t improve OS vs loco-regional therapy alone (despite fewer distant mets)
      • Adjuvant chemo doesn’t improve OS and raises early mortality risk Groningen Research Portal+1
      • Within concomitant therapy:
        • Platinum-containing regimens carry the strongest signal:
  • Limitations the paper notes:
    • Trials span 1965 to 2012:
      • Staging, RT techniques, supportive care evolved
      • Still, no interaction by accrual period and sensitivity analyses were consistent
      • HPV data were largely unavailable. Groningen Research Portal
  • Citation (free full text): 
    • Lacas B, Carmel A, Landais C, et al. MACH-NC update—107 RCTs, 19,805 pts. Radiother Oncol. 2021;156:281-293. PMC8386522. Key effect sizes and table are in the PDF’s Table 1 and text (OS/EFS/120-day mortality/LRF/DF). 

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