Prete et al., Endocrine (2024)—A High-Quality Retrospective Cohort Study with Advanced Adjustment Methods, Assessing the Benefit of RAI in Intermediate-Risk DTC Patients with Multiple Risk Factors

  • Study Design and Methods:
    • Type:
      • Retrospective cohort of 469 consecutive ATA low / intermediate-risk DTC patients:
        • From 2009 to 2015
    • Groups:
      • RAI-treated:
        • 328 (69.9%)
      • No-RAI:
        • 141 (30.1%)
    • Primary Outcome:
      • Composite biochemical or structural recurrence at median 17.5 months
    • Adjustment Method:
      • Inverse-Probability Weighted Regression Adjustment (IPWRA):
        • To control for selection bias and baseline confounders
  • Key Results:
    • Overall recurrence rates:
      • RAI group:
        • 9.6% (95% CI 6.3–12.9%)
      • No-RAI group:
        • 15.9% (95% CI 11.1–20.7%)
    • Relative Risk Reduction:
      • 42% lower recurrence with RAI:
        • RR = 0.58; 95% CI 0.35–0.91; p = 0.018
    • Recurrence risk factors (multivariable analysis):
      • pN1 disease:
        • OR 4.07
      • Male sex:
        • OR 2.71
      • Larger tumor size:
        • OR 1.03 per mm
      • Microscopic ETE:
        • OR 2.36
    • Subgroup benefit:
      • Greatest in patients with ≥ 2 intermediate-risk factors:
        • pN1
        • mETE
  • Clinical Implications for Surgeons:
    • In intermediate-risk patients with multiple adverse features:
      • RAI appears to significantly reduce recurrence
    • Risk features amplifying benefit include:
      • Clinical / pathologic lymph node metastasis (pN1)
      • Microscopic ETE
      • Larger primary tumors
      • Male gender
    • Absolute recurrence reduction:
      • ~ 6.3% in this cohort:
        • Notable for patient counseling
  • Surgical Considerations:
    • Multifactor intermediate-risk disease:
      • Should prompt strong consideration for adjuvant RAI
    • Younger patients, low-risk burden (e.g., single small node, no ETE):
      • May still be appropriate for surveillance
    • Shared decision-making critical:
      • Discuss ~ 6% absolute benefit balanced against RAI side effects
    • RAI dose and prep:
      • Not specified in the study; current practice supports 60 to 100 mCi with rhTSH preparation
  • In summary:
    • Prete et al. provide robust level III evidence that RAI reduces recurrence in intermediate-risk DTC patients with multiple adverse factors
    • This supports a nuanced, risk-adapted recommendation for RAI use in your multidisciplinary practice
  • Reference:
    • Prete A, et al. Benefit of RAI in intermediate-risk DTC patients with multiple features. Endocrine. 2024;84(1):123–131.

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